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Featured · Scenario explorer

5,000 simulated tournaments

FIFA World Cup 2026 — Tournament Scenario Explorer

FIFA World Cup 2026 Scenario Explorer — a scatter map of 5,000 simulated tournaments

simscape.metiscope.com

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About this demo

5,000 simulated tournaments, each a possible version of how the 2026 World Cup could unfold. Every dot is a complete tournament — from group stage through to the Final — generated using a Dixon-Coles football model calibrated to pre-tournament ratings.

The spatial layout reflects structural similarity between tournaments: scenarios with similar scorelines, upsets, and progression patterns sit close together. Colour the map by champion to see which nations dominate which regions of the space, and use the axis controls to move between "form" tournaments and upset-filled ones.

Click any point to open a full scenario view — the complete bracket from the Round of 32 through to the Final, alongside the group-stage tables.

Model

Dixon-Coles, ratings-calibrated

Scale

5,000 full tournaments

Interaction

Spatial map → full bracket

Why it matters

The football version is a demo. The real application is in domains where the stakes are higher and you have agency.

Customer demand in an economic shock. The health impact of a new class of drug. The effect of AI on the future jobs market. In each, the aggregate probability view isn't enough — the edge cases are where the risks and the opportunities live, and finding them needs an interface built for human exploration, not just a summary.

The point isn't to automate the insight, but to give people the ability to see and understand more than they ever could from a ranked list of probabilities.